Experts explain reasons behind fall of TZ shilling

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  Financial market practitioners are associating the depreciation of the shilling with the strengthening of American economy, which has seen a number of currencies across the world losing value.
ACI-Financial Market Association-Tanzania Chapter president Ivan Tarimo said the strengthening of the US economy has made the dollar stronger, thus pushing down the value of the other currencies.
He made the comments in Dar es Salaam, when the association members met to exchange ideas, besides announcing the start of searching for new leadership this month.
“Just look at other currencies like Kenyan shilling, South African rand and some currencies of Southeast Asian nations,” said Mr Tarimo.
Mr Tarimo, who is head of Global Markets at Stanbic Bank Tanzania, said under such circumstances it will take sometime for the shilling to recover against the US dollar.
“Flowing the dollar into circulation by the central bank will only be a short term solution to the current trend. Long term solutions like fixing the structure of the economy usually take longer,” he said.
By Thursday, the shilling was trading at between Sh2,015 and Sh2,030 in some bureaux de change, while in some banks the shilling was trading at Sh2,050 against the vehicle currency.
Financial marketers hope that the situation is still within the central bank’s control, and that is why BoT has started taking some measures.
Tabling the 2015/2016 budget outlook of Sh22.5 trillion, Finance minister Saada Mkuya said the Bank of Tanzania (BoT) has started taking measures, including intervening in the foreign exchange market by issuing US dollars to commercial banks. This aimed at increasing the amount of the currency in circulation.
Financial marketers are still confident that the situation will be managed effectively by the body responsible with controlling money circulation.
“We’ve not reached a point of losing control. We’re confident the central bank will rescue our currency,” said National Microfinance Bank (NMB) treasurer, Mr Aziz Chacha.
Mr Chacha said the situation will be a burden to Tanzanians given the nature of the country’s economy which is net importer than exporter, and hence whenever the local currency loses value, prices of goods and services tend to go up.
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